The worst-case scenario describes a hypothetical situation in which a particularly negative event is expected to occur.
It is assumed that all risks associated with this event will occur and have maximum impact. The worst-case scenario is thus a type of worst-case analysis used to identify the maximum risk of a particular event or situation.
In the field of risk management, the worst-case scenario is used to assess the impact of possible loss scenarios on the company. For this purpose, scenarios are run through in which all possible risks are considered for their maximum impact. For example, external factors such as natural disasters, political crises or other shock situations are also taken into account.
The worst-case scenario is also used in the planning of financial products or investments. Here it is assumed that the markets develop in a particularly unfavourable way and that the expected returns are not achieved. The worst-case scenario helps investors and analysts to better understand and evaluate possible risks.
In summary, the worst-case scenario is an important method of risk management and financial analysis to identify and evaluate potential risks and losses. It helps to develop a better understanding of the impact of crisis situations and other events on companies and investments.